Will the Republican Party hold a majority in the US House of Representatives after the November 2026 midterm elections?

Settles from

Associated Press — certified race calls

Closes

3 November 2026

Settles Ndio if

Associated Press certified race calls give the Republican Party 218 or more of the 435 seats in the US House of Representatives.

Settles La if

Those certified calls give the Republican Party fewer than 218 seats.

Voided if

The named source does not publish a result, or the question becomes unanswerable as written. Everyone holding shares is refunded in full, with no spread or fee retained.